Papers & talks

Google Scholar



  • [27] S.L. van der Pas. Theoretical guarantees for the horseshoe and other global-local shrinkage priors. In: Tadesse, Vanucci (ed.) Handbook of Bayesian Variable Selection, 133-160. [link]
  • [26] I. Castillo, S.L. van der Pas. Multiscale Bayesian survival analysis. Annals of Statistics 49 (6), 3559-3582. [link]
  • [25] F.J. Hinsenveld, B.J. Noordman, J.L. Boormans, J. Voortman, G.J.L.J. van Leenders, S.L. van der Pas, S.C. van Beek, D.E. Oprea-Lager, A.N. Vis. Prediction of pathological response following neoadjuvant chemotherapy in patients with muscle-invasive bladder cancer: the PRE-PREVENCYS trial. BMC Cancer 21, 1161. [link]
  • [24] Y.L. Hiemstra, A. Tomsic, P. Gripari, A.L. van Wijngaarden, S.L. van der Pas, M. Palmen, R.J.M. Klautz, M. Pepi, J.J. Bax, V. Delgado, N.A. Marsan. Evolution from mitral annular dysfunction to severe mitral regurgitation in Barlow’s disease. Interactive CardioVascular and Thoracic Surgery 32 (4), 506-514. [link]


  • [23] M. Kroon, S. Barbiers, J. Odijk, S. van der Pas. Detecting syntactic differences automatically using the Minimum Description Length principle. Computational Linguistics in the Netherlands Journal 10, 109-127. [link]
  • [22] V. Rockova, S. van der Pas. Posterior concentration for Bayesian regression trees and forests. Annals of Statistics 48 (4), 2108-2131. [link]
  • [21] D.C.M. Stokman-Meiland, I.F. Groeneveld, H.J. Arwert, S.L. van der Pas, J.J.L. Meesters, R.D. Rambaran Mishre, T.P.M. Vliet Vlieland, P.H. Goossens (2020). The course of depressive symptoms in the first 12 months post-stroke and its association with unmet needs. Disability and Rehabilitation. [link]


  • [20] M. Kroon, S. Barbiers, J. Odijk, S. van der Pas (2019). A filter for syntactically incomparable parallel sentences. Linguistics in the Netherlands 36 (1), 147-161. [link]
  • [19] F. van Markus-Doornbosch, E. Peeters, G. Volker,  S.L. van der Pas, T. Vliet Vlieland, J. Meesters (2019). Physical activity, fatigue and sleep quality at least 6 months after mild traumatic brain injury in adolescents and young adults: a comparison with orthopedic injury controls. European Journal of Paediatric Neurology 23 (5): 707-715. [link]
  • [18] S.L. van der Pas (2019). Merged block randomisation: A novel randomisation procedure for small clinical trials. Clinical Trials 16 (3), 246-252. [link]
  • [17] F. van Markus-Doornbosch, E. Peeters, S.L. van der Pas, T. Vliet Vlieland, J. Meesters (2019). Physical activity after mild traumatic brain injury: what are the relationships with fatigue and sleep quality? European Journal of Paediatric Neurology 23 (1), 53-60. [link]
  • [16] H.D. Lam, S.L. van der Pas, A. Baranski, B. van Hoek, M.C. Burgmans, R.J. Bennink, L.F. de Geus-Oei (2019). The role of proportionate kinetic growth rate fraction in future remnant liver function over volume determined by 99mTc-Mebrofenin hepatobiliary scintigraphy including SPECT and CT in the risk prediction of postoperative mortality in ALPPS. Surgery 165 (6) 1244-1245. [link]
  • [15] G.C. Mol, C.E.A. Dronkers, M.A. van de Ree, S.L. van der Pas, M.J.A.M. Tegelberg-Stassen, F.B.M. Sanders, S. Koppen, O. de Weerdt, T. Koster, M.M.C. Hovens, H.A.H. Kaasjager, R.E. Brouwer, E. Kragten, C.G. Schaar, W. Spiering, W.P. Arnold, M.V. Huisman, F.A. Klok (2019). Elastic compression stockings one year after DVT diagnosis: who might discontinue? Thrombosis Research 173, 35–41. [link]
  • [14] I.F. Groeneveld, S.L. van der Pas, J.J.L. Meesters, J.M. Schuurman, W. van Meijeren-Pont, E. Jagersma, P.H. Goossens, A.A. Kaptein, T.P.M. Vliet Vlieland (2019). Illness perceptions of stroke survivors: predictors and changes over time – a 1 year follow-up study. Journal of Psychosomatic Research 116, 54–61. [link]
  • [13] I.F. Groeneveld, P.H. Goossens, I. van Braak, S. van der Pas, J.J.L. Meesters, R.D. Rambaran Mishre, H.J. Arwert, T.P.M. Vliet Vlieland (2019). Patients’ outcome expectations and their fulfilment in multidisciplinary stroke rehabiliation. Annals of Physical and Rehabilitation Medicine 62 (1), 21-27. [link]


  • [12] S.L. van der Pas, A.W. van der Vaart (2018). Bayesian community detection. Bayesian Analysis 13 (3), 767-796. [pdf]
  • [11] A. Tomsic, Y.L. Hiemstra, S.L. van der Pas, H. Putter, M.I.M. Versteegh, T.J. Brakel, N.A. Marsan, R.J.M. Klautz, M. Palmen (2018). Early and long-term outcomes of mitral valve repair for Barlow’s disease: a single-centre 16-year experience. Interactive CardioVascular and Thoracic Surgery 26, 783-789. [pdf]
  • [10] S. van der Pas, R. Nelissen, M. Fiocco (2018). Different competing risks models for different questions may give similar results in arthroplasty registers in the presence of few events. Acta Orthopaedica 89 (2), 145-151. [pdf]
  • [9] S. van der Pas, P. Grünwald (2018). Almost the best of three worlds: risk, consistency and optional stopping for the switch criterion in nested model selection. Statistica Sinica 28, 229-253. [pdf]
  • [8] B.W. Schreurs, S.L. van der Pas (2018). No benefit of arthroscopy in subacromial shoulder pain. The Lancet 391 (10118), 289-291. [pdf]


  • [7] S.L. van der Pas, V. Rocková (2017). Bayesian Dyadic Trees and Histograms for Regression. Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems 30, 2089-2099. [pdf]
  • [6] S. van der Pas, B. Szabó and A. van der Vaart (2017). Uncertainty quantification for the horseshoe (with discussion). Bayesian Analysis 12 (4), 1221-1274. [pdf]
  • [5] S. van der Pas, B. Szabó and A. van der Vaart (2017). Adaptive posterior contraction rates for the horseshoe. Electronic Journal of Statistics 11 (2), 3196-3225. [pdf]
  • [4] S.L. van der Pas, R.G.H.H. Nelissen and M. Fiocco (2017). Patients with staged bilateral total joint arthroplasty in registries: immortal time bias and methodological options. Journal of Bone & Joint Surgery – American Volume 99 (15), p e82. [pdfLink to online journal edition here. Copyright JBJS.


  • [3] S.L. van der Pas, J.-B. Salomond and J. Schmidt-Hieber (2016). Conditions for posterior contraction in the sparse normal means problem. Electronic Journal of Statistics 10, 976-1000. [pdf]


  • [2] S.L. van der Pas, B.J.K Kleijn and A.W. van der Vaart (2014). The horseshoe estimator: posterior concentration around nearly black vectors. Electronic Journal of Statistics 8 (2), 2585-2618. [pdf]
  • [1] S. van der Pas (2014). The normal road to geometry: in Euclid’s Elements and the mathematical competence of his audience. The Classical Quarterly 64, 558-573. [pdf] Link to online journal edition here. Copyright The Classical Association. 

Selected talks

Conferences and seminars

  • `Multiscale Bayesian survival analysis’ [slides] (Gothenburg Statistics Seminar, October 2020)
  • `Posterior concentration for Bayesian regression trees and their ensembles’ [slides] (Statistics seminar, University of Cambridge, November 2018)
  • `Bayesian dyadic trees and histograms for regression’ [poster(NIPS, Long Beach, December 2017)
  • `Competing risks with time dependent clustering’ [slides] (PTA, London, September 2016)
  • `How many needles in the haystack? Adaptive inference and uncertainty quantification for the horseshoe’ [slides(JSM, Chicago, August 2016)
  • `The horseshoe and more general sparsity priors’ [slides] (EYSM, Prague, September 2015)
  • `Bayesian community detection’ [slides] (JSM, Seattle, August 2015)
  • `The horseshoe estimator: posterior concentration around nearly black vectors’ [slides] (ERCIM, Pisa, December 2014)


  • `Gevolg zoekt oorzaak’ [slides] (Dies for Alumni, Leiden University, February 2020)
  • `Waarom het heel onhandig is dat mensen twee heupen hebben’ [slides] (De Leidsche Flesch alumni day, October 2019)
  • `Orgaanalarm’ [slides] (Leiden Science Family Day, October 2018)
  • `Hoe lang duurt het tot…?’ [slides]  (De Leidsche Flesch lunch seminar, Leiden, May 2016)
  • `Almost the best of three worlds’ [slides] (FMF Axioma symposium, Groningen, June 2014)
  • `Hypothese toetsen en het switch-criterium’  [slides(De Leidsche Flesch lunch seminar, Leiden, April 2014)